Nico Rosberg Joins an Exclusive Club

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Nico Rosberg shocked us all by deciding to retire after winning the 2016 Drivers Championship. In doing so he joined an exclusive club.

The following table shows the full list of drivers throughout F1 history who did not defend their championship title the following year.

Season Driver
1951 Juan Manuel Fangio
1958 Mike Hawthorn
1970 Jochen Rindt
1973 Sir Jackie Stewart
1992 Nigel Mansell
1993 Alain Prost
2016 Nico Rosberg

We can add two additional names to the list if we look at champions who did not compete in the first race of the season following their championship victory.

Season Driver
1951 Juan Manuel Fangio
1953 Alberto Ascari
1958 Mike Hawthorn
1970 Jochen Rindt
1973 Sir Jackie Stewart
1992 Nigel Mansell
1993 Alain Prost
1996 Damon Hill
2016 Nico Rosberg

It is an incredible thing to leave a sport at the very height of your powers. There’s a fascinating story behind each and every one…

Juan Manuel Fangio

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Having been narrowly beaten by Nino Farina in F1 racing’s inaugural world championship in 1950, Fangio came good a year later as three wins and two other podiums proved enough to propel him to a first championship crown in 1951.  Unfortunately Alfa Romeo, with whom the Argentinian had competed in both seasons, withdrew ahead of the ’52 campaign leaving Fangio without a drive.

Fangio appeared to have a seat at BRM but he was badly injured in a crash at a non-championship race at Monza. He received multiple injuries, including a broken neck, and missed the entire eight-race calendar while recuperating. Fangio would return in 1953, and though he failed to secure the championship that year he went on to claim four more titles.

Alberto Ascari

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In 1952 Ascari drove his Ferrari 500 to victory in six of the seven championship races to take the Title. In 1953 he again overpowered the opposition, winning five times and cruising to a second successive driving title.

Following a dispute over his salary, Ascari left Ferrari at the end of the ’53 season and switched to Lancia for the 1954 campaign. Unfortunately Lancia didn’t have a car ready for the start of the season so Ascari failed to start in the first race of his title defense. When the Lancia D50 was ready to race, Ascari took pole position on its debut but was ultimately beaten to the title by Fangio.

Mike Hawthorn

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If Fangio’s lack of title defence was fleeting, Mike Hawthorn became the first man to actively decide to retire following a championship triumph. Bow-tie-wearing and pipe-smoking Hawthorn was king of cool in the mid to late 1950s. After securing the Le Mans win with Jaguar in 1955 Hawthorn went on to become Britain’s first world champion in 1958, beating compatriot Stirling Moss to the title by a solitary point. It was reported that Hawthorn had been deeply affected by the loss of team mate and friend Peter Collins during that year’s German Grand Prix and whether because of that and/or a possible health issue he stepped away from the sport after claiming the title.

Tragically Hawthorn would lose his life in a road accident in 1959. The World Champion was not yet 30 years old.

Jochen Rindt

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Renowned as a brilliantly talented driver who was spectacular to watch, the flamboyant Rindt had become the man to beat in F1 in 1970. Rindt had already won five of the nine races thrusting the Austrian into a clear 20 point championship lead.

During practice for the Italian Grand Prix at Monza Rindt was testing his Lotus with no wings in an attempt to reduce drag. He lost control coming into the Parabolica and tragically crashed to his death. His lead was such that no one was able to deprive Rindt of the 1970 title – and the Austrian remains (thankfully) the first and only posthumous champion in F1 history.

Sir Jackie Stewart

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Sir Jackie Stewart was already firmly established as the F1 benchmark by the start of 1973, having won two world championships and racked up 14 poles, 22 victories and 35 podiums since a startling debut season in 1965.

The Scot had already confided in team boss and friend Ken Tyrrell that ’73 would be his last season.  With an insurmountable lead in the Championship and only two races left – in Canada and the USA – it was supposed to be a farewell tour.

In Stewart’s penultimate race weekend, his Tyrrell team mate and protege Francois Cevert was killed in a violent crash aged just 29. The Scot retired immediately, one race earlier than planned in what would have been his 100th Grand Prix. He would never race in F1 again.

Nigel Mansell

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The moustachioed Briton also left the sport at the height of his powers – but unlike Jackie Stewart, Mansell’s exit was not entirely of his own choosing. Having agonisingly missed out on a first title several times, Mansell finally made good in 1992 with Williams. Unfortunately he managed to fall out with the team over pay demands and a misunderstanding about the nature and timing of Alain Prost’s deal with the squad for the following 1993 season.

Though he left the F1 arena as Champion Mansell’s talent was further cemented with his switch to IndyCars yielding an immediate Championship. “Our Nige” as the Brits would say became the only man to hold the F1 and IndyCar crowns at the same time.

Alain Prost

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A sabbatical in 1992 after his very public falling-out with Ferrari half-way through 1991 had recharged the batteries of the three-time world champion Alain Prost. He replaced the America-bound Mansell at Williams for the 1993 season. At the time, Prost had a one-year clause that precluded Ayrton Senna from becoming his team mate. That honour instead went to Damon Hill, who ended up pushing Prost hard – as did Senna, who was still at McLaren. Prost and Williams were too strong to be denied and he romped to a fourth crown, taking 13 pole positions and seven victories. The triumph came just days after Prost announced his retirement. With the clause in his contract preventing Senna from being his team-mate having expired Prost made way for the Brazilian. For the second year running, F1 did not have a defending champion.

Damon Hill

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After finishing second to Michael Schumacher in 1994 and 1995, Damon Hill finally saw his chance to build a strong title challenge in 1996, with Schumacher moving to Ferrari and rookie Jacques Villeneuve joining him at Williams.  While leading the Championship by 13 points Williams  told Hill he was not the future of the team and would not have a contract the following year.  In what must have been a huge blow to a racing driver’s confidence Hill could only try to complete the WDC. He did so in style, winning the last race of the year in Japan and finally matching the Championship feat achieved by his father Graham.

Not ready to hang up the helmet Hill had a couple of teams to choose from for 1997. He ended up signing for relative minnow Arrows. Although he was close to victory in an inspiring race in Hungary, he spent most of 1997 at the back of the field. In his first race Of the season he only qualified 20th and during the warm-up lap, his throttle jammed and he was forced to retire before the lights even went green. The result – the reigning F1 Champion did not start the first race of his title defence.

Nico Rosberg

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Unlike many on this list, there was precious little forewarning of Rosberg’s decision to retire following his draining first title in 2016.  After yet another season long battle with Lewis Hamilton in the dominant Mercedes Rosberg announced his retirement just five days after securing the crown – and just a few hours before his official coronation. “Since 25 years in racing, it has been my dream, my ‘one thing’ to become Formula One World Champion,” Rosberg said. “I have climbed my mountain, I am on the peak, so this feels right.”

Nico Rosberg has joined an exclusive club.  Each of these drivers is a hero of the sport who for very different reasons failed to line up on the grid to defend their F1 Championship title. 2016 may not have been the best season in formula 1 history but it was certainly a bitter fight to the final nail-biting finish. It’s still early days for the 2017 season but one thing’s for certain: we will have a new Champion.

 

What was the Best Season in F1 History?

Formula 1 may be the greatest sport in the world but even the most ardent fan would agree that some seasons are better than others. So what was the best season in F1 history? What was the best era in the sport? It seems everyone has an opinion.

Fernando Alonso made his position clear when he described the generally popular Prost/ Senna era of the 80s and 90s as “boring” and the noughties as being the greatest ever era.  According to a poll conducted by James Allen on F1 it seems many fans agree with him.

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Here at F1 Bytes we like to lean heavily on the hard data before making bold claims about who, what, where or when is the best in F1 (although we’re not averse to weighing in with an opinion or two either ;)) So in light of the recent debate regarding the best era in F1 we’ve analysed the data going back to the very first season of the world’s greatest sport and present the results to you here.

Scoring System

F1 Bytes has developed a scoring system that ranks each season across a range of factors to provide a statistical basis for assessing season quality. Our selection of factors is by no means exhaustive and was somewhat constrained by data availability, however it provides a decent first stab at an objective measurement of season quality. For those of you who feel we’ve missed something important, scored factors incorrectly or even made a total hash of the whole thing we’d love to hear from you.

Before we dive into a detailed analysis of the factors let’s take a peek at the bottom line.

The chart above shows the total factor score for each season and a rolling decade average score.

AND THE PODIUM POSITIONS GO TO…

Third Place:   2010  (Total Factor Score 49)

  • Drivers Champion: Sebastian Vettel
  • Constructors Champion: Red Bull-Renault
  • A thrilling final race saw four drivers in contention for the championship (Webber, Vettel, Alonso and Hamilton)
  • Red Bull Racing won their maiden Constructors Championship (the first of four consecutive Driver and Constructors Championships)
  • Sebastian Vettel became the youngest champion in Formula 1 history
  • 2010 earned top points in three factors and with scores in four out of eight overall

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Second Place:   1982  (Total Factor Score 51)

  • Drivers Champion: Keke Rosberg  (like father, like son!)
  • Constructors Champion: Ferrari (note: Rosberg drove for Williams)
  • Hugely competitive season with 11 different winners and no driver winning more than twice
  • Rosberg became the first driver since 1958 to win the championship with only one race win
  • 1982 took top points for three of our factors and scored in six factors out of eight
  • While a superb season statistically it was also marred by tragedy with the deaths of both Riccardo Paletti and Gilles Villeneuve

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AND THE BEST SEASON IN FORMULA 1 HISTORY WAS …

Winner:   2012  (Total Factor Score 53)

  • Drivers Champion: Sebastian Vettel
  • Constructors Champion: Red Bull-Renault
  • A record seven different drivers won the first seven races
  • The season was decided in the final race between Vettel and Alonso
  • Vettel became only the third driver in history to win three consecutive championships
  • Interestingly 2012 only received top points for one of our eight factors but received points for seven of the eight factors overall (only two other years, 1997 and 2008, managed seven factor scores with no season scoring in all eight)

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Key Takeaways

While our winners bask in the glory there are a few things to note about about the overall shape of the data:

  • The period of the 70’s and early 80’s was consistently strong with the decade ending 1983 earning the top score for rolling decades.  Statistically and aesthetically the Golden Era in our opinion
  • Fernando was right…kinda. The three years he highlighted as ‘boring’, ’85, ’88 and ’92 were objectively not great. ’92 was actually one of 6 seasons to score no points in our system. However, we must reluctantly point out to Fernando that each of his two championship winning years, 2005 and 2006, barely troubled the scorers on our factor system
  • On a rolling decade basis, there has been a generally improving trend in season score since the low point set in 1996
  • Despite some great seasons in the last decade there has been significant season to season variation in quality
  • Unsurprisingly given Mercedes dominance the last few years have not been spectacular by historical standards (particularly 2015).  It’s fair to say we were due for a big year.  2017 has been a definite move in the right direction.

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The Factors

No doubt at this point you thinking “sure, that’s great – but what are these factors all about?” Well, here they are:

  1. Highest number of winning drivers in a season
  2. Highest number of drivers to lead the World Drivers Championship during a season
  3. Most changes in championship leader during a season
  4. Highest number of marques to win a race in a season
  5. Smallest average delta in top 10 qualifying times
  6. Smallest average delta in race time for top 3
  7. Highest number of drivers to get a podium in a season
  8. Highest number of drivers who could have won the Championship in the last race (Double Points!!! – see our notes on the scoring system)

For a detailed explanation of the individual factors and a discussion of the associated analysis please click on the factor links above.

Clearly we place a high degree of importance on the level of overall competitiveness in a season.  No doubt some will feel we’ve ignored some important aspects of season quality. One notable omission is an analysis of overtakes during a season. In the end we decided not to include overtake analysis as there was insufficient data on the early years and our analysis suggested they wouldn’t impact the overall results significantly. For those interested in overtakes, there has been some interesting discussion on this topic recently and F1 Bytes will put overtakes under the microscope in a future post.

2017 and beyond…

No matter your personal opinion on Nico Rosberg’s 2016 championship few would deny the fairytale of his accomplishing the same feat his dad Keke did 34 years prior. Statistically Keke’s 1982 championship year was one of the greatest ever (second overall) and for many the cars of that era were among the coolest looking in the history of the sport.

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The 2017 Regulations mean this year’s cars reflect many of the aesthetic features of those early 80’s beasts. Let’s all hope this isn’t just a coincidence and that 2017 and coming seasons can challenge those statistically halcyon days of the late 70’s and early 80’s. We can’t wait to find out!!

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